Bitcoin news: MSTR’s Q4 losses revive flash-crash fears for BTC

Has the worst within the crypto market already handed, or is it nonetheless forward?

market positioning, danger belongings have kicked off 2026 with some momentum, displaying a noticeable uptick. Nonetheless, it might be too early, or too optimistic, to name this the beginning of a development reversal simply but.

On the heart of the motion is Technique [MSTR]. Technically, MSTR has began the New 12 months with a 3.43% rally, with Bitcoin [BTC] good points clearly feeding into its inventory value. That stated, it’s nonetheless removed from clean crusing.

Supply: TradingView (MSTR/USD)

To date, what’s behind MSTR is a multi-billion-dollar This fall loss.

Mainly, the corporate is anticipated to report a large hit after Bitcoin’s 24% drop worn out a $2.8 billion revenue from Q3. Shares fell 48% in 2025 and are 70% under their November 2024 peak, fueling rising considerations.

Consequently, analysts are projecting full-year working outcomes between a $7 billion loss and a $9.5 billion revenue. Nevertheless, with Bitcoin ending the yr close to $87,600, the numbers are more likely to land towards the decrease finish.

In brief, skepticism round MSTR’s Bitcoin mannequin is again in full power. Now, as the corporate braces for a large This fall loss, the massive query is: May this spark Bitcoin’s first main flash crash of early 2026?

MSTR’s multi-billion losses sign flash crash danger

Flashback to the October crash, it wasn’t random. 

As a substitute, good cash strategically exited forward of MSCI’s announcement about MSTR probably being excluded from the index, given its Bitcoin-heavy treasury holding of over 671k BTC.

Now, with This fall efficiency within the books, one other shakeup can’t be dominated out. In reality, because the chart under exhibits, Technique shares have simply posted their first six-month shedding streak since adopting a Bitcoin technique in 2020.

Supply: X

Taken collectively, that provides as much as a whopping 134% loss.

Consequently, MSTR’s technical weak spot is now displaying on paper, with its This fall report anticipated to focus on these huge losses and, in flip, increase questions concerning the sustainability of its Bitcoin mannequin.

Trying forward, a market frenzy is probably going across the report. Furthermore, with warning nonetheless in place, and BTC down roughly 25% from pre-October crash highs, one other flash crash stays very a lot on the desk.

Last Ideas

• Multi-billion-dollar This fall loss and technical weak spot increase doubts concerning the sustainability of MSTR’s Bitcoin-heavy mannequin.
• With BTC down 25% from pre-October highs and market warning nonetheless intact, one other early-2026 flash crash stays a chance.