Celestia price analysis: Inside TIA’s 13% sell-off and what comes next

Celestia got here underneath sharp strain, sliding 13.55% within the final 24 hours and clearly underperforming the broader market’s 2.54% decline, whereas extending its weekly losses to just about 9%.

Celestia’s sell-off mirrored a sustained structural strain somewhat than a sudden shock.

On the 1-day timeframe, the Celestia [TIA] worth plummeted after dropping the 50% Fibonacci degree at $0.527. Then it slipped beneath the 30-day SMA close to $0.518. That break signaled pattern continuation.

Consequently, sellers pressed more durable. Quantity surged 132% to roughly $70 million, confirming distribution. Merchants responded defensively.

Supply: TradingView

Quick-term members lowered publicity, whereas momentum merchants added shorts on failed bounces. This conduct endured for a number of classes, reinforcing draw back management.

In the meantime, RSI at 41.22 indicated weakening momentum somewhat than capitulation. In consequence, bears now eye $0.473 as the following draw back goal.

A loss there might expose the $0.45 zone. Nevertheless, bulls have to reclaim the $0.505 spot first. A day by day shut above $0.527 would shift the construction and invite imply reversion towards $0.60.

Till then, intent stays cautious. Liquidity favors reactive trades, not sustained accumulation.

Wanting on the timeframe, it looks like the market will stabilize earlier than making a transparent transfer, as members await affirmation from quantity and momentum alerts.

TIA’s worth struggles regardless of easing unlock strain

Celestia’s current worth efficiency displays lingering tokenomics strain, though circumstances have improved structurally.

At genesis in 2023, inflation began close to 8%. Since then, successive upgrades lowered issuance steadily. By late 2025, inflation had fallen near 2.5%, marking a significant shift.

Importantly, the most important provide shocks pale earlier. Main VC and early investor unlocks will probably be concluded by late 2025.

In the beginning of 2026, the circulating supply of TIA stabilized close to 870 million. That eliminated cliff threat. Nevertheless, emissions didn’t disappear.

Staking rewards proceed so as to add provide, with APYs close to 8–10%. Consequently, dilution persists when demand stays weak.

From late 2025 into 2026, worth motion mirrored this sluggish grind somewhat than panic promoting. Sellers acted methodically, not aggressively.

In the meantime, patrons waited for affirmation that issuance cuts translate into utilization. Wanting forward, additional inflation reductions might assist sentiment.

Nonetheless, with out stronger adoption and price progress, tokenomics enhancements alone could not reverse the pattern instantly and decisively.

Ultimate Ideas

• TIA’s drop displays sustained distribution and weak momentum, not panic. Heavy quantity and misplaced assist ranges maintain draw back strain intact towards $0.45–$0.47.
• With emissions ongoing and demand skinny, restoration hinges on reclaiming $0.505–$0.527 and stronger adoption.