History Repeating? XRP Flashes Signal Last Seen Before Explosive 60,000% Rally
XRP is on monitor to shut its fifth consecutive month in unfavourable territory, a uncommon stretch of sustained losses that has not been seen since late 2016. Regardless of holding at round $1.30, the token has declined almost 30% in February alone, in line with CoinGecko data, extending a broader five-month decline of roughly 50%.
XRP Flashes Pre-Bull Run Sample
The final time XRP recorded 5 straight purple month-to-month candles was between October 2016 and February 2017. Throughout that interval, the value slipped from $0.00885 to $0.00557, a decline of 37%, earlier than discovering a backside close to $0.0055 in March 2017. By Could 2017, XRP had surged to $0.3988 — a acquire of seven,000% in simply two months.
After consolidating by means of the summer season, the token climbed once more, ultimately reaching $3.31 in January 2018. From its March 2017 low, that marked a 60,000% improve.
Associated Studying
With XRP now following an analogous path, market analyst Sam Daodu examined the comparability in a brand new report launched on Monday.
Daodu famous that the present setup “rhymes” with the 2016–2017 construction: 5 consecutive months of declines, tightening value motion, and indicators that promoting stress could also be exhausting itself. Nevertheless, he cautioned that the market surroundings has modified dramatically since XRP was “a micro‑cap token.
In 2017, XRP’s complete market worth was lower than $300 million. Daodu identified that at that stage, even a couple of hundred million {dollars} in new capital may elevate the value by hundreds of share factors.
At this time, XRP has a market capitalization of about $88 billion. In keeping with the analyst, this scale makes a 60,000% surge just about unimaginable underneath any life like market circumstances.
250% Rally Nonetheless In Play
A comparable rally would suggest a transfer to roughly $852 per token. With roughly 58 billion XRP in circulation, that might translate to a market capitalization exceeding $49 trillion — greater than the mixed worth of all shares listed on the New York Inventory Change.
Nonetheless, Daodu argues that whereas a repeat of the 2017 explosion is off the desk, a significant restoration stays inside attain if the bottoming sample holds.
A return to XRP’s July 2025 excessive of $3.65 would symbolize a acquire of about 157% from present ranges. A transfer towards $5 — close to the higher vary of analyst forecasts for 2026 — would quantity to a 252% improve.
Associated Studying
Much more conservative projections recommend room for upside. Customary Chartered lately decreased its XRP goal by 65%, citing close to‑time period headwinds, however its revised forecast of $2.80 would nonetheless suggest a roughly 97% rise from present buying and selling costs.
The important thing distinction on this cycle, in line with Daodu, lies within the supply of demand. The explosive rally of 2017 was largely pushed by retail hypothesis.
In distinction, any substantial good points this time would possible depend upon institutional flows, together with potential trade‑traded fund (ETF) inflows, broader institutional adoption, and a restoration throughout the broader crypto market.
Whereas one other 60,000% run is unrealistic, Daodu believes a 150% to 250% advance is achievable if momentum shifts and capital returns to the sector.
Featured picture from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
