Mapping Bitcoin’s next move: A bullish breakout or a bearish trap ahead?

• It was unclear if this bounce might rework into an uptrend for Bitcoin.
• The announcement of the U.S. crypto strategic reserve on Sunday lifted the market-wide sentiment barely.

Bitcoin [BTC] surged 9.53% on Sunday the 2nd of March following the announcement of a brand new strategic crypto reserve proposed by U.S. President Donald Trump.

This proposal additionally contains Ethereum [ETH], Ripple[XRP], Solana [SOL], and Cardano [ADA], all of which noticed sizable positive factors.

From a technical perspective, the BTC bounce has not modified the outlook on the every day timeframe. Was this a bearish retest, or the start of a restoration that will usher in a brand new uptrend?

Bitcoin faces resistance until $100k- must you go brief?

Supply: BTC/USDT on TradingView

The U.S. jobs report is ready for the seventh of March. If the report falls in need of broader market expectations, it might influence shares and crypto, together with Bitcoin. Moreover, the rally occurred when the worth broke the vary lows and established a bearish construction.

Was this a deep deviation earlier than transferring greater to gather liquidity to the south? Or might this be a “promote the information” occasion? It’s powerful to make sure. Then once more, buying and selling has by no means been about certainty.

The CMF was at +0.15, signaling heavy shopping for stress, however the Superior Oscillator remained in bearish territory.

Extra importantly, the every day market construction was additionally bearish. The decrease excessive at $98.3 wanted to be breached to shift the construction.

Supply: Coinglass

The 1-month liquidation heatmap highlighted the cluster of liquidity round $100k. This indicated {that a} transfer to this area was extremely probably, as worth is drawn to dense liquidation zones.

Supply: Coinglass

The 1-week chart highlighted the $95.5k degree because the closest worth goal. This degree coincided with the help degree that Bitcoin clung to all through February. A retest of this degree might set off a bearish reversal.

There didn’t seem like a extra probably consequence at press time. The sentiment has been intensely bearish in current days, and merchants can be apprehensive of being bullish.

But, BTC is unpredictable, and this sort of state of affairs is when the worth rockets greater, leaving many members sidelined.

Therefore, the bullish state of affairs appeared extra possible primarily based on a qualitative evaluation, whereas technical evaluation supported the bearish case.

Disclaimer: The data introduced doesn’t represent monetary, funding, buying and selling, or different varieties of recommendation and is solely the author’s opinion