XRP Mirrors 2016 Trend That Led To 69% Crash Before 110,000% Rally
XRP has struggled to create any upside traction over the previous few days, with the worth rejecting above $2.15 in the midst of the week and now again to lingering simply above the $2 stage.
A brand new long-term technical comparability shared by crypto analyst ChartNerd locations XRP’s value conduct since its July all-time excessive of $3.65 into an attention-grabbing context, implying that what XRP is doing now resembles a section from its 2016 market cycle that factors to an incoming big rally.
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Repeating 2016 Rejection And ABC Crash Construction
In response to crypto analyst ChartNerd, XRP’s current structure matches an identical value motion that unfolded in late 2016. when value rejected an accumulation provide block and rolled into an ABC corrective transfer. That correction in the end produced a 69% flash-wick decline that prolonged into the primary quarter of 2017.
The drop was extreme and unfolded over a number of months, ultimately pushing XRP to as little as $0.00240, however it will definitely represented the top of the correction somewhat than the top of the bullish cycle.
The chart accompanying the evaluation, which is proven under, highlights a comparable rejection sample forming now. This sample relies on how the XRP value rejected at its most up-to-date all-time excessive in July. Since then, the month-to-month value chart has been printing consecutive pink candles, with month-to-month closes constantly under opens.
On the time of writing, XRP is a couple of 44% correction from this all-time excessive. This implies a 69% correction is but to play out in its entirety. Due to this fact, if historical past repeats, a full 69% ABC-style transfer from the all-time excessive would drag XRP again under $1 and as little as $0.8. This transfer is anticipated to play out into the primary quarter of 2026.
XRP Price Chart. Source: @ChartNerdTA
Potential Drop May Be A Set-Up For A A lot Bigger Rally
XRP is presently buying and selling at $2.04. Due to this fact, a deeper pullback under $1 will translate to a 51% lower from the present value motion. The thought of a deeper pullback from $2 is hard to think about, especially given the inflows into Spot XRP ETFs. The truth is, a pullback of that magnitude may take a look at conviction throughout the market and trigger many bullish merchants to step apart.
Nonetheless, the technical evaluation frames it as a structural reset somewhat than anything. In 2017, the post-crash consolidation laid the groundwork for considered one of XRP’s most explosive rallies on file, in the end delivering positive factors in extra of 110,000%.
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If this sequence performs out as anticipated, then the actual bullish alternative would develop later in 2026. From that reset zone, the chart initiatives a long-term advance to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, inserting a possible upside goal round $27. The visible projection within the chart above reveals a clear multi-month growth zone that delivers a 2,300% acquire after the corrective section.
Featured picture from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
