Bitcoin’s Liquidity Indicator Just Lit Up, Big Move Incoming?
In accordance with an analyst, Bitcoin sits in a liquidity set-up that has proven up earlier than huge rallies. Costs are usually not taking pictures larger but. At press time Bitcoin trades round $104,500, down 0.5% over the previous day.
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Merchants watched a decline of about 1.8% earlier that pushed the value close to $103,400 and it briefly touched $102,850 through the transfer.
Stablecoin Sign Factors Towards Accumulation
CryptoQuant analyst Moreno factors to the Stablecoin Supply Ratio, or SSR, as the primary clear indicator. The SSR compares Bitcoin’s market cap to the whole market cap of stablecoins. It has dropped again into the 13 vary.
Primarily based on historic readings, that 13 space has lined up with market lows in mid-2021 and at a number of moments throughout 2024. Stories present that when SSR fell to related ranges, liquidity quietly constructed up and shopping for adopted after a interval of low volatility.
Liquidity Sample Has Appeared Earlier than Each Bitcoin Surge — And It’s Again
“We’re witnessing a liquidity configuration that has solely appeared a handful of instances since 2020, and every occasion marked a pivotal second for Bitcoin’s trajectory.” – By @MorenoDV_ pic.twitter.com/vWKcCkyn55
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) November 11, 2025
Binance Reserve Tendencies Add A Second Layer
The second metric Moreno highlights comes from Binance. On that alternate, stablecoin balances are rising whereas Bitcoin reserves are shrinking. In plain phrases: extra cash-like tokens sit on the alternate and fewer cash are being held there.
That sample has appeared solely a handful of instances since 2020, based on the info he referenced. Every time, the motion instructed capital ready on the sidelines and holders transferring cash off exchanges into longer-term storage.
Market Calm Can Cover Huge Strikes
The present buying and selling backdrop is cautious. Many buyers anticipated a lift after information that the US Congress authorized short-term federal funding by way of January 30, but crypto didn’t rally with different threat belongings.
Some capital rotated again to shares. On the identical time, massive holders took income after current highs, and momentum cooled. That blend exhibits how macro occasions can shift flows with out instantly turning into crypto shopping for.
Threat Nonetheless Exists — Construction Might Break
Moreno warns this liquidity zone acts like a last structural assist. If the metrics break down decisively, it might sign a deeper reset earlier than any sustained restoration.
In that situation, shopping for would doubtless be delayed and volatility would rise. This isn’t a assured final result, however it’s a clear threat that merchants watch carefully.
Outlook: Restricted Draw back, Rising Upside
Primarily based on stories and on-chain alerts, Moreno believes the risk-to-reward favors patrons at these ranges. He factors to the built-up stablecoin provide and falling alternate BTC reserves as causes for that view.
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Historic patterns recommend the final three months of the 12 months typically carry positive aspects for Bitcoin, however previous conduct doesn’t promise future returns.
For now, the symptoms present capital parked in stablecoins and fewer cash obtainable on main exchanges. That creates a setup the place recent shopping for might push the market larger shortly if sentiment turns.
But the alternative is feasible: a break beneath these ranges would reshape the cycle and pressure many contributors to rethink positions. Markets will determine which path comes subsequent.
Featured picture from Gemini, chart from TradingView
