Bitcoin’s volatility evolution: From extreme swings to stable ground

Posted: September 18, 2023

• Bitcoin has not witnessed a single day with volatility over 150% within the present halving cycle.
• BTC has maintained the $26,000 value vary regardless of the slight declines.

Bitcoin [BTC], together with many different cryptocurrencies, has confronted allegations of utmost volatility and the related threat of holding it. Not too long ago, information has offered a solution to the query of its volatility when in comparison with typical property.

Learn Bitcoin (BTC) Value Prediction 2023-24

Bitcoin sees much less prolonged volatility

A latest publish from Ecoinometrics revealed that Bitcoin exhibited reducing situations of utmost volatility following every of its halving occasions. The report highlighted that within the first halving cycle, it had over two months with volatility exceeding 150% inside a one-month timeframe.

Within the second halving cycle, this era decreased to roughly one month with such elevated volatility. Remarkably, within the present halving cycle, BTC has not witnessed a single day with volatility surpassing 150%.

Supply: Ecoinometrics

These volatility occasions signified that whereas Bitcoin’s common volatility remained comparatively excessive, it has ceased to endure prolonged durations of utmost volatility. Ecoinometrics attracts a comparability, suggesting that BTCs volatility is now much like that of NVIDIA or Tesla.

Bitcoin’s 4-week volatility metric

Latest information from Santiment indicated that Bitcoin has certainly skilled notable value volatility prior to now few months. This metric revealed vital fluctuations in volatility, though these fluctuations have typically not continued for prolonged durations, as famous within the Ecoinometrics publish.

As of this writing, the worth volatility rating was roughly 0.017%. The very best degree of volatility noticed over 5 months reached 0.07%.

Supply: Santiment

BTC’s value pattern

On the Bitcoin each day timeframe, the Bollinger Band indicated some value volatility prior to now couple of months. Nonetheless, this volatility has not been sustained over an prolonged interval. As of this writing, the band was displaying low volatility, with a spread between $25,000 and $27,000.

Additionally, over the past two days, there have been slight declines in Bitcoin’s value, however it has managed to carry across the $26,000 degree. As of this writing, it was buying and selling at roughly $26,500.

Supply: TradingView

How a lot are 1,10,100 BTCs price as we speak

These slight declines have saved the brief and lengthy Shifting Averages intact as resistance ranges.

Moreover, the worth drop has precipitated BTC to dip barely beneath the impartial line on its Relative Energy Index (RSI), though this alteration will not be instantly obvious.