BNB/ETH up 7% – Early sign that Binance Coin could lead L1s in Q1?
Altcoin rotation is totally dormant proper now. Worse nonetheless, most big-cap altcoins haven’t even saved tempo with Bitcoin [BTC] on month-to-month losses, which is capping rotational flows, leaving their danger/reward profile skewed.
Binance Coin [BNB] is not any exception. Down 28% up to now in 2026, it’s testing important help zones, taking out longs, and retracing again to Q2 2025’s ranges. The BNB/BTC ratio has dropped by 7.12% too, signaling muted rotation.
Briefly, BNB has been feeling the market FUD. Nonetheless, flashback to This autumn 2025 and key divergences could also be in play – Ethereum [ETH] dumped 2x more durable than BNB, pushing BNB/ETH up 19% even whereas the broader market was shaky.
Supply: TradingView (BNB/ETH)
Quick-forward to now, and an identical setup may be forming. BNB/ETH is up 7.29% in Q1, with Ethereum roughly 1.5× deeper within the pink vs. Binance Coin. From a technical lens, capital is clearly favoring BNB whereas ETH lags behind.
In response to Messari data, this divergence won’t be a fluke. In truth, BNB’s This autumn 2025 report highlighted robust on-chain efficiency as common transactions jumped by 30.4% to 17.3 million, whereas lively addresses climbed 13.3% to 2.6 million.
So right here’s the query – With BNB exhibiting an identical setup vs. different L1s, is that this an indication of strong on-chain fundamentals? And if that’s the case, might it repeat its This autumn 2025 transfer and outperform the remainder of the L1 pack by the top of Q1 2026?
BNB’s on-chain energy shines by means of market FUD
Stablecoins acted as a significant liquidity driver behind BNB’s This autumn divergence.
In truth, on-chain information revealed that its stablecoin market cap grew by 9.2% QoQ. Main the pack had been USDT at $9.0 billion (up 12.4% QoQ) and USDC at $1.3 billion (up 23.1%) – Offering a powerful spine for capital rotation.
The consequence? BSC’s RWA worth hit $2 billion, up 228% QoQ, making it the second-largest RWA network after Ethereum by the top of 2025. Briefly, even with market FUD, capital has been clearly flowing throughout key sectors.
Supply: Messari
Naturally, the query then is – Is Binance Coin seeing an identical liquidity transfer?
In response to data from DeFiLlama, BNB’s stablecoin market cap is already up 2.5% up to now in Q1, in step with its RWA value, which is up 5% month-to-date to over $2.15 billion. Capital is clearly nonetheless flowing on-chain.
On this context, the BNB/ETH ratio appeared to be reflecting this momentum, making rotational flows much less speculative and extra fundamentals-driven. If this pattern holds, BNB might be setting as much as repeat its This autumn 2025-style outperformance.
Last Ideas
- BSC’s on-chain energy is holding up regardless of market FUD, fueling capital rotation, with BNB/ETH exhibiting clear momentum.
- Present liquidity and fundamentals recommend Binance Coin might outperform different L1s, repeating its This autumn 2025 cycle.
