Can Bitcoin’s price rally swiftly to $100K in January 2026?

Bitcoin’s value confronted rejection at its December range-high space of $94k-$96k, capping its January rebound. This, after the early 2026 restoration was marked by robust institutional inflows of over $1 billion. These inflows drove the worth of BTC from $87.5k to $94.7k. 

Nevertheless, at press time, the bulls had failed to interrupt out of December’s sideways construction.

In reality, Bitcoin had dropped to $90k, pushed by a liquidity hunt. In response to dealer Cryp Nuevo’s projections, an prolonged correction to the lows of $80k may additionally be possible.      

Supply: Cryp Nuevo/X

Analysts’ views on BTC restoration

Though such an outlook would sluggish a breakout likelihood to $100k, institutional gamers is perhaps more and more positioned for the psychological degree.

In response to Jake Ostrovskis, Head of OTC markets at Wintermute, latest positioning signalled an “early Q1 aid rally.” He stated, 

“The bid for topside continues, with an extra $13m paid in a single day for 27FEB $100k calls and 30JAN $98k calls. Recent positioning is constructing into the brand new 12 months, with course of journey pricing in a Q1 aid rally.”

Supply: Jake Ostrovskis/X

Put in a different way, there gave the impression to be renewed expectation of a bullish breakout (demand for calls) to $98k-$100k in January or February. 

Different analysts have been predicting a bullish restoration primarily based on historic and correlation information. 

For instance, Matt Mena, a Crypto Analysis Strategist at 21Shares, informed AMBCrypto that 2026 will possible be optimistic, given the dismal leads to 2025. He mentioned, 

“Traditionally, within the final 15 years, Bitcoin has by no means recorded two back-to-back down years.”

For him, BTC might turn out to be the best-performing asset this 12 months after lagging behind high property in 2025. He added, 

“Moreover, following a 12 months the place crypto is likely one of the worst-performing property, it’s sometimes the best-performing asset within the following 12 months – a sample seen in 2014 & 2015, 2018 & 2019, and 2022 & 2023.”

For his half, Farzam Ehsani, CEO of VALR crypto trade, foresees sustained capital inflows into BTC if gold and silver rallies utterly cool off. In response to him, BTC might climb to $130k in Q1 2026, with the present consolidation performing as a possible springboard. 

“Bitcoin’s present sideways motion in opposition to the backdrop of record-breaking positive aspects in gold and silver resembles a ‘calm earlier than the storm’ sometimes adopted by a broader crypto market rally.”

Odds of regaining $100k

Right here, it’s price declaring that the market has increased expectations of reclaiming $100,000 in March and April, in comparison with January. This gave the impression to be according to Ostrovskis’ Choices insights too. 

Supply: Kalshi

A few of the key bullish catalysts could be the passage of the crypto invoice and a “affordable fairness market,” in keeping with Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. Quite the opposite, blow-ups reminiscent of the ten October crash might dent the optimistic 2026 outlook. 

Remaining Ideas

• A possible breakout from BTC’s value vary to $100k is perhaps on the playing cards by the top of January or February, in keeping with some analysts.  
• Others imagine BTC might print a report excessive of $130k in Q1 2026.