Bitwise CIO Says Bitcoin Price Could Fall Below $100K Before New Highs
The worldwide crypto market slipped barely in the present day, with complete capitalization falling to $3.7 trillion, down 0.47%. Bitcoin traded at $110,204, down 0.17% within the final 24 hours, whereas Ethereum held close to $3,859, slipping 0.62%.
XRP traded at $2.50, down 0.25%, and BNB slipped 1.30% to $1,079. Solana, which has been one of many top-performing altcoins this 12 months, fell 0.95% to $184.35.
Altcoin Season Nonetheless Lacking
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan addressed growing frustration amongst merchants over the dearth of a full-fledged altcoin season in 2025. He defined that the market construction has shifted, with conventional finance (TradFi) now enjoying a significant function in driving large-cap crypto actions.
“There’s been no actual alt season. It’s been form of a disappointing cycle,” Hougan mentioned, including that almost all crypto-native buyers anticipated the standard four-year sample to set off an altcoin rally by now. “TradFi is driving the bus right here. They’re the marginal patrons of large-cap crypto belongings,” he added.
Potential BTC Dip Earlier than a New Excessive
Hougan mentioned that whereas Bitcoin may briefly dip beneath $100,000, the long-term outlook stays optimistic. He cited Customary Chartered’s current be aware, which hinted a drop beneath the six-figure mark was “inevitable,” however confused that such strikes would possible be non permanent.
“I do suspect we set a brand new all-time excessive earlier than the tip of the 12 months,” Hougan mentioned. He expects institutional buyers to rebalance portfolios earlier than year-end to indicate allocations to belongings like Bitcoin and gold.
Regulatory Uncertainty Looms
In the meantime, ongoing uncertainty across the Readability Act and a potential U.S. authorities shutdown has added stress to the market. Prediction platform Polymarket exhibits greater than a 50% chance that the shutdown may prolong previous November 12, which can delay crypto-related selections.
Hougan says the market has already priced within the chance that the Readability Act could not move this 12 months. “If it does occur, it’s a significant optimistic catalyst, particularly for Ethereum and Solana,” he mentioned. “If it fails, there is perhaps short-term draw back, however long-term, the thesis for crypto stays intact.”
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