Is the Next Bitcoin Bull Run Tied To The US Presidential Elections? Here’s What History Tells Us
Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s first and largest cryptocurrency, has been related to a number of bull runs through the years. One of the vital notable uptrends occurred in 2012, and monetary analyst and cryptocurrency skilled Aditya Siddhartha has linked it to the USA of America (USA) Presidential Elections.
Why Does The US Presidential Elections Matter For Bitcoin?
In keeping with Siddhartha, the 2012 Bull Run of Bitcoin was preceded by a big drop in BTC’s value, with a lower of 52% noticed available in the market. Nonetheless, after the transferring common convergence/divergence (MACD) Bullish Crossover and all main exponential transferring common (EMA) Bullish Crossovers, the market began to achieve momentum, and the bull run started.
Within the case of BTC’s 2012 bull market, the MACD and EMA indicators supplied constructive indicators, resulting in elevated investor confidence and a surge in demand for Bitcoin. This resulted in a post-Presidential Elections bull run, with Bitcoin’s value growing by 11800%.
On the identical be aware, Siddhartha noticed that in 2016, BTC’s value skilled a drop of 41% within the run-up to the Presidential Elections. Nonetheless, after the MACD Bullish Crossover and all main EMA Bullish Crossovers, the market started to achieve momentum, and the uptrend began.
Following the Presidential Elections, Bitcoin’s value skilled a post-election bull run, with the value growing by a staggering 2800%. This surge in value was pushed by elevated demand from traders and a rising consciousness of Bitcoin’s potential as a retailer of worth and digital asset.
In 2020, Bitcoin noticed a big drop of twenty-two% earlier than the presidential elections. This drop was largely as a result of uncertainty surrounding the result of the elections and the potential impression it may have on the financial system and the inventory market.
Nonetheless, in line with Siddhartha, following the Presidential Elections, Bitcoin’s value skilled a post-election bull pattern, with the value growing by 410%.
Moreover, Siddhartha has prompt that the value of Bitcoin may see a big pump to $40,000 earlier than the Pre-Presidential Elections in 2024. Nonetheless, the analyst additionally anticipates a drop of 25%-30% within the run-up to the elections, just like earlier years.
As in earlier bull runs, Siddhartha predicts that the MACD Bullish Crossover and all main EMA Bullish Crossovers will present constructive indicators, resulting in elevated investor confidence and demand for Bitcoin. Following the Presidential Elections, Siddhartha expects a post-election Bull Run, with the value of Bitcoin probably growing by 450%, leading to a value vary of $180,000-$200,000.
On the time of writing, BTC’s value has been on the decline since Saturday. It has misplaced its beforehand established vary between $28,500 and $29,600 and has as soon as once more didn’t breach the important thing stage of $30,000.
BTC’s Worth Drops 4% In 24 Hours
On the time of writing, BTC’s value has been on the decline since Saturday, at present buying and selling at $27,7000. It has misplaced its beforehand established vary between $28,500 and $29,600 and has as soon as once more didn’t breach the important thing stage of $30,000.
This stage is necessary because it serves as a psychological barrier for traders and merchants. Presently, BTC is reporting a lack of 4% within the final 24 hours, however, will Bitcoin handle to cease the present pattern and try one other run to surpass the $30,000 stage?
According to CryptoCon, Bitcoin has been following the Elliott Wave Principle fairly nicely and even used it to find out the underside in December 2022 at $16,500.
CryptoCon explains that, by definition, even wave 3 can’t be over as it will make it shorter than wave 1. Which means there’s nonetheless room for Bitcoin to expertise important progress sooner or later, regardless of any short-term corrections.
Featured picture from iStock, chart from TradingView.com
