Bitcoin Rainbow Chart says ‘accumulate’ – But analysts warn of bear market

Bitcoin has rallied 3.74% from its lows on the twenty fifth of January, reaching $ 89,300 on the time of writing. The transfer got here after U.S. President Donald Trump mentioned they might pause imposing new tariffs after a gathering with NATO Secretary Basic Mark Rutte.
This improvement eased the macro market uncertainty, however the Bitcoin worth pattern stays bearish.
AMBCrypto reported that whale balances had been climbing, whereas retail buyers had been leaving.
There’s a case for a bullish Bitcoin response as geopolitical uncertainties appeared to ease. The FOMC assembly will carry added volatility to the market, however the consolidation round $90k wants decisive spot flows to carry restoration.
If there’s a restoration to be made.
Conventional Bitcoin high alerts fail to fireside
In a post on X, CryptoQuant analyst Julio Moreno opined that the crypto market was making an attempt to make up narratives to suit their biases.
After they fail, they make up the subsequent one, whereas lacking what the precise information says-that Bitcoin is now bearish.
“S2F failed. Energy regulation failed. M2 failed. Enterprise cycle failed. The newest mannequin to try to catch the Bitcoin low appears to be the BTC/Gold ratio, which in fact will present that Bitcoin is tremendously undervalued in opposition to gold. Matches the narrative.”
Analyst Axel Adler Jr additionally reported that the crypto winter is deepening. This was not a superb signal for buyers trying on the present bearishness as a part of a pullback earlier than new all-time highs.
This may be extraordinarily complicated as a result of among the older (albeit much less critical) indicators, such because the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, didn’t even get near a market high. The best that BTC costs reached on this cycle had been into the “Accumulate” zone.
In 2017, the extremes had been examined, and in 2021, the extremes had been approached. The present one was method off if a crypto winter is certainly underway.
Neither did the Pi Cycle High indicator fireplace a promote sign. It had efficiently predicted the market high within the earlier three cycles. Just like the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, the present cycle was massively overestimated.
Until, in fact, you’re keen to just accept that Bitcoin can certainly push to new highs previous $150k in 2026.
Closing Ideas
- Onchain analysts agreed that the info confirmed a Bitcoin bear market was underway.
- This went in opposition to what conventional, and fewer extensively used indicators, such because the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, had been saying.
Disclaimer: The data introduced doesn’t represent monetary, funding, buying and selling, or different sorts of recommendation and is solely the author’s opinion.







