Bitcoin: November 2025 turns historic – For all the wrong reasons
Key Takeaways
How is Bitcoin performing?
Bitcoin is dealing with its second-biggest ETF outflows since its launch, and will set a brand new file.
Will BTC’s worth rebound?
It was unlikely that the value of Bitcoin may reverse the losses incurred in November if it ends in purple.
Bitcoin [BTC] slipped under the $100,000 mark and continued to commerce under it as Bitcoin ETFs and quarterly returns adopted the drain.
Within the meantime, your entire crypto market rose barely by lower than a % whereas the Fear & Greed Index hit 17, dipping to excessive concern ranges.
At the moment, the market appears to be heading in the direction of its worst-ever month when it comes to BTC ETF outflows and quarterly returns.
Bitcoin ETFs — Largest outflows but?
As per knowledge from SosoValue, Bitcoin ETFs have been seeing the second-biggest outflow in 2025, which was at $2.33 billion whereas the month was nonetheless halfway.
Related outflows via the remaining weeks would see November hit a brand new file.
This 12 months’s February had the most important ETF outflows, which just about hit $4 billion. Nevertheless, provided that Bitcoin has now entered a reduction zone after falling under $100K, the outflows may doubtlessly reverse.
Supply: SosoValue
The outflows have stemmed from the general weak point seen out there, with BTC’s worth additionally dealing with an identical destiny.
Notably, BlackRock, Grayscale, Bitwise, and Constancy led outflows previously 24 hours, as per CoinGlass data.
BlackRock noticed greater than 4.65K BTC in outflows, contributing to greater than 94% of the whole 4.94K BTC on the day.
Quarterly returns: Extra alignment?
Bitcoin continued to battle when it comes to quarterly returns, as did Ethereum [ETH], which mirrored a basic market weak point.
Since 2018, when BTC misplaced greater than 42% within the final quarter, this 12 months’s quarter has come the closest. Nevertheless, this quarter’s loss nonetheless represents a couple of third of that of 2018.
Different years have been 2022 and 2019, which misplaced about 14.75% and 13.54%, respectively, as per CoinGlass knowledge.
Supply: CoinGlass
Ethereum was additionally seeing its worst returns since 2019. The returns have been a mirrored image of the misplaced confidence amongst merchants within the crypto sector.
Historic data indicated that each purple November was adopted by an identical December, making it unlikely for BTC to reverse this sentiment.
The sample was evident in 2018, 2019, 2021, and 2022, which have been purple within the final two months of the 12 months.
Will BTC worth reclaim assist?
On the charts, BTC worth slipped under a 15-month trendline assist, as per Dealer Tardigrade’s analysis on X (previously Twitter). This additional burdened the weak point of Bitcoin and its merchandise, like ETFs.
Reclaiming the assist degree can be very bullish for BTC, whereas the reverse would prolong losses. The following space of curiosity on the draw back is round $80K, whereas on the upside, it’s sitting at $126K.
Supply: Dealer Tardigrade
Notably, solely a change in crypto market sentiment would change the present downtrend in worth motion, returns, and BTC ETF flows. November was headed to be the most important with outflows if the present pattern stayed.
Nevertheless, provided that costs had been declining for over a month and have been at important reductions, there was nonetheless potential for a rebound.
