Tom Lee Charts Path To $62,500
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BitMine chairman Tom Lee has pinned Ethereum’s long-run upside to an express ratio framework and a “replacement-cost” lens on international fee rails. In his September 2 “Chairman’s Message,” the Fundstrat co-founder facilities the evaluation on the ETH/BTC cross and a year-end Bitcoin anchor of $250,000, utilizing a slide-based grid to translate ratio ranges into ETH spot targets—after which extends the calculus to a $62,500 state of affairs if Wall Road’s settlement stack migrates to Ethereum.
Why Ethereum Might Soar To $62,500
“The 8-year common Ethereum to Bitcoin ratio is 0.04790 and it’s at the moment 0.0432, that means we’re beneath the long-term common. The all-time excessive on this ratio was 0.0873,” Lee says. “After all, it began off increased, however I’m speaking concerning the 2021 all-time excessive. So, we expect that not solely ought to Ethereum get well to the long-term common, it ought to in all probability get to the all-time excessive ratio and arguably exceed it as we begin speaking about Ethereum performing because the chain for each Wall Road to construct its fee rails and the monetary system in addition to AI.”
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He then walks via the core exhibit. “So, let’s take into consideration what meaning for worth. I’ve a grid right here. On the left aspect is Bitcoin worth ranges after which going throughout are numerous ranges of the Ethereum to Bitcoin ratio. Our year-end goal—that is from the Fundstrat aspect—for Bitcoin is $250,000. And if you happen to have a look at the common, okay, then you may see the vary of costs for Ethereum utilizing this ratio and totally different ranges of Bitcoin. And right here’s the 2021 excessive. And as you may see, at a $250,000 Bitcoin, you get to someplace between $12,000 and $22,000 worth per Ethereum token.”
The slide reveals: if BTC runs to $250K and ETH simply trades on the common ratio, it implies ~$12,000; if ETH recovers its 2021 ratio excessive of ~0.087, that jumps nearer to ~$22,000. “However that’s only a ratio restoration,” Lee continues. “In case you have a look at the substitute value of fee rails and the banking system, that will get you to an implied worth of Ethereum of round $60,000. And that places the ratio at roughly 0.250 Ethereum to Bitcoin ratio. And as you may see, that’s the way you get to $62,500 per Ethereum token. So loads of upside.”
Lee frames this ratio-first math inside a broader structural thesis that Ethereum is getting into a “1971 second” for finance, as real-world property are synthesized into on-chain devices and stablecoins broaden as digital base cash. The near-term numerical anchor is the 0.0432 ETH/BTC print sitting beneath the 0.04790 eight-year imply; the medium-term goal is a reversion towards, and probably past, the 2021 excessive he cites. The grid interprets these waypoints into discrete ETH costs at a hard and fast Bitcoin reference, which is why Lee emphasizes each variables in tandem relatively than an ETH-only trajectory.
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Past the grid, Lee argues that Ethereum captures the best share of tokenized monetary exercise and that its proof-of-stake economics align with how regulated establishments pay for safety and uptime right this moment. In his telling, banks and market operators already fund siloed infrastructure stacks; staking ETH to safe widespread rails might substitute that spend whereas returning a local yield, an incentive he says pushes the ETH/BTC ratio increased as danger capital and money flows migrate.
That is additionally the place the “replacement-cost” view feeds into the $62,500 final result: if Ethereum turns into the settlement substrate for fee networks, tokenized credit score and fairness, and AI-linked knowledge rights, the market ought to worth ETH on the worth of the rails it replaces relatively than solely on historic multiples or cycle heuristics.
The message additionally situates BitMine’s company blueprint inside that macro arc. Lee describes BitMine as an Ethereum treasury enterprise constructed to compound ETH per share via 5 levers—fairness issued above NAV, equity-linked volatility monetization, working money flows, staking rewards, and M&A for treasuries close to NAV—arguing that proof-of-stake turns an ETH stability sheet into an income-producing infrastructure asset.
Lee’s math makes the dependencies express: a Bitcoin anchor round $250,000 and an ETH/BTC advance first to the long-term common (~0.048), then towards the 2021 peak (~0.0873), and, within the replacement-cost state of affairs, to ~0.25. The primary two steps indicate ~$12,000–$22,000 ETH on his grid; the third defines the $62,500 “skyrocket” case tied to financial-plumbing migration and AI-era settlement on Ethereum. As he places it: “That’s the way you get to $62,500 per Ethereum token.”
At press time, ETH traded at $4,377.
Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
