Lido’s Ethereum staking share drops 9% in 2025 – Can LDO flip 75% losses?
- Lido has misplaced 9% within the ETH staked market as Ether Fi gained 30%.
- Ether Fi token has extra upside potential than LDO for investor returns.
Lido [LDO] has misplaced a big chunk of Ethereum’s [ETH] staking market share to Ether.Fi, with analysts speculating {that a} optimistic SEC stance on DeFi may assist revive the staking platform.
Within the first half of 2025, Ether Fi’s staked ETH rose 30% whereas Lido declined 9%, based on Tom Wan, Head of Information at Entropy Advisors.
Supply: Dune Analytics
Prior to now month alone, Ether Fi led with 286.3K staked ETH, whereas Lido noticed 182K ETH outflows.
Surprisingly, this divergence is occurring as the general ETH staking hit a document excessive, underscoring investor confidence in ETH.
Assessing LDO restoration potential
On the token market efficiency, Lido may supply a large upside in case of a hated rally.
Notably, LDO dropped 75% in early 2025, slipping from $2.5 to $0.6. Though it recovered 60% in Q2, solely 16% (160 million LDO) of the overall provide was in revenue.
Supply: Glassnode
However about 840 million LDO provide was nonetheless in loss. Ought to they wait to interrupt even or flip a revenue, the token’s restoration might prolong.
Additional analysis confirmed that the principle on-chain resistance was $1.5-$1.7, based on IntoTheBlock.
Round this zone, about 5.5K addresses purchased 167 million LDO, making it a key break-even level for a big a part of the provision.
Supply: IntoTheBlock
At press time, LDO traded at $0.96, that means a resilient restoration to $1.5 may supply a possible 53% acquire.
Nonetheless, such a lift-off may supply comparatively higher returns on Ether Fi in contrast LDO. In accordance with the Ether Fi/Lido ratio, Ether Fi outperformed LDO by 130% in Might.
The ratio has now shaped a bull flag sample, implying a possible 57% relative Ether Fi acquire over LDO.
Supply: Ether.Fi/Lido ratio, TradingView
