Analysis

Bitcoin surpasses $120k, driven by declining US dollar

Bitcoin has surged from $108,000 to over $120,000 in lower than every week, extending its aggressive uptrend and hitting new all-time highs on almost each buying and selling day.

Whereas the US greenback worth of Bitcoin retains hovering, the identical momentum has been extra muted in different fiat currencies just like the euro and British pound.

The divergence is tied to the declining energy of the US greenback. Since January, the greenback has dropped over 10% in opposition to the pound and continues to fall in opposition to the euro.

This weakening pattern has turn out to be a focus for market contributors who view it as a broader sign of financial instability and a catalyst for what some are calling a brand new section of “bitcoinization.”

Weakening US {dollars}

Analysts at Kobeissi Letter pointed out that the market is getting into “disaster mode,” noting that Bitcoin is now rising in a near-vertical line.

In response to the agency, Bitcoin is in uncharted territory because the US charges are climbing, the greenback has fallen by 11% in simply six months, and over $1 trillion has been added to crypto’s complete market cap up to now three months.

The financial evaluation platform additional famous that two main turning factors have formed Bitcoin’s efficiency in 2025: the April 9 pause on US tariffs and the July 1 passage of President Trump’s “Large Lovely Invoice.”

Bitcoin Price Performance
Bitcoin Worth Efficiency (Supply: The Kobeissi Letter)

For the reason that latter, Bitcoin has added greater than $15,000 to its worth, reinforcing the inverse correlation with the US Greenback Index.

Including to the bullish narrative, institutional buyers look like flooding into Bitcoin. BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, has amassed $80 billion in property beneath administration in simply over a yr, a milestone that took the highest gold ETF greater than 15 years to achieve.

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Capital rotation into Bitcoin

Furthermore, as Bitcoin rallies, conventional property are starting to lag. The S&P 500, when measured in Bitcoin, is down 15% year-to-date and has declined almost 99.98% since 2012.

 S&P 500 Priced in Bitcoin S&P 500 Priced in Bitcoin
S&P 500 Priced in Bitcoin (Supply: The Kobeissi Letter)

Whereas some interpret this as a warning for legacy markets, others see it as affirmation that Bitcoin is getting into a brand new section of dominance that will appeal to additional international liquidity to the asset.

Jamie Coutts, the chief crypto analyst at Actual Imaginative and prescient, echoed this sentiment, declaring that Bitcoin’s 40% rally since April aligns with a breakout in international liquidity after a three-year downtrend.

Global Liquidity Index Global Liquidity Index
International Liquidity Index (Supply: Jamie Coutts)

In response to Coutts, each 1% rise in international liquidity may translate right into a 20%+ improve in Bitcoin’s worth, a dynamic highlighting the dimensions of capital rotation into crypto.

He added:

“Whereas this easy mannequin accounts for the continuation of the hoovering of capital from all corners of the globe into Bitcoin, it doesn’t account for the inevitable ‘oh sh#t’ second of panic shopping for that’s going to occur…finally. Will probably be better of occasions, will probably be the more serious of occasions.”

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