Analysis

Trump aide allegedly made $100K betting on 12 speeches before anyone knew

The White Home positioned longtime teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez on unpaid administrative depart on July 16 after ABC Information reported allegations that he used advance entry to President Donald Trump’s ready remarks to earn greater than $100,000 on Kalshi.

Sources advised the community that the alleged buying and selling coated greater than a dozen speeches over roughly three months and that Perez is discussing a possible settlement with the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee. The CFTC declined to remark.

Kalshi said its surveillance staff promptly flagged, investigated, and referred the trades to the CFTC. NPR individually reported, citing unnamed sources, that the alternate froze about $90,000 and banned Perez from the platform.

Kalshi freezes insider accounts as $1.5 billion Super Bowl trading tests market integrityKalshi freezes insider accounts as $1.5 billion Super Bowl trading tests market integrity
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Kalshi freezes insider accounts as $1.5 billion Tremendous Bowl buying and selling exams market integrity

The CFTC regulated platform is publishing enforcement like CME, signaling that integrity infrastructure is changing into the product.

Feb 26, 2026 · Gino Matos

Detection with no public clock

Kalshi’s system seems to have caught one thing uncommon, investigated the account, and despatched proof to the federal regulator. The lacking piece is when every step occurred.

ABC News, The Associated Press, and NPR don’t say when Kalshi first flagged the account, when buying and selling was restricted, or when the referral occurred relative to the alleged sequence of greater than a dozen speeches. With out these timestamps, it is not possible to inform whether or not Kalshi restricted the account earlier than any additional alleged buying and selling came about.

Infographic showing alleged Perez trading metrics, Kalshi's reported response, three unknown surveillance timestamps, and the federal rule framework.Infographic showing alleged Perez trading metrics, Kalshi's reported response, three unknown surveillance timestamps, and the federal rule framework.

The governing framework is evident, although it has not been publicly utilized to Perez. A February CFTC advisory stated misappropriating confidential data in breach of an obligation can violate Commodity Trade Act Part 6(c)(1) and Regulation 180.1.

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It additionally stated designated contract markets have an unbiased obligation to keep up audit trails, surveil buying and selling, and implement their guidelines. Kalshi’s rulebook bars members with materials nonpublic data or affect over an consequence from buying and selling the related contract, and requires that uncommon exercise be reviewed and, the place acceptable, investigated.

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The CFTC says prediction markets have an insider trading problemThe CFTC says prediction markets have an insider trading problem
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The CFTC says prediction markets have an insider buying and selling downside

After listings exploded from about 5 a 12 months to hundreds, the CFTC is warning exchanges to catch manipulation earlier than it hits headlines.

Mar 15, 2026 · Gino Matos

The Perez allegations escalate a sample mirrored within the CFTC’s common prediction-market warning and a separate Particular Forces and Polymarket case CryptoSlate coated earlier this 12 months. This time, the claimed edge got here from entry to White Home speeches, and the trades ran via a federally regulated alternate’s point out markets.

The timing additionally coincides with Trump Media’s July 16 announcement of Reality API, a paid knowledge feed designed to ship posts from Reality Social’s most influential accounts, together with Trump, to institutional clients in milliseconds. The corporate stated the service, scheduled to start Aug. 1, is aimed partly at high-frequency and algorithmic buying and selling companies for which even transient data delays carry a value.

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Not like the Perez allegations, the API issues quicker entry to data after publication somewhat than to nonpublic remarks prematurely. Nonetheless, the 2 developments expose adjoining markets constructed across the identical commodity: receiving Trump’s probably market-moving phrases earlier than slower members can react.

Trump “not happy” with prediction markets – says world is a “casino” as Special Forces soldier arrested for insider trading on PolymarketTrump “not happy” with prediction markets – says world is a “casino” as Special Forces soldier arrested for insider trading on Polymarket
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Trump “not blissful” with prediction markets – says world is a “on line casino” as Particular Forces soldier arrested for insider buying and selling on Polymarket

US Particular Forces soldier faces DOJ and CFTC prices over alleged labeled intel trades as prediction markets’ integrity comes below hearth.

Apr 24, 2026 · Liam ‘Akiba’ Wright

Kalshi introduced new integrity measures on June 9, together with market danger scores and employment screening earlier than customers can enter sure heightened-risk markets. These measures got here after the reported December-to-March interval throughout which Perez allegedly traded. Kalshi has not disclosed whether or not these safeguards reached presidential-mention markets after the rollout or whether or not related checks have been already in place.

For now, the reply is cut up. Surveillance seems to have labored properly sufficient to generate a referral and reported freeze and ban, however the repeated alleged buying and selling and lacking timestamps depart the velocity and deterrent impact of the response on this case unproven.

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