Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s fate hinges on $102K – Breakdown or breakout ahead for the price?

  • Bitcoin has held agency above its month-to-month open for June
  • Fibonacci retracement ranges highlighted the significance of the $102k assist zone

Bitcoin [BTC] holders have continued to stay steadfast. In actual fact, a latest report revealed that whales/retail BTC inflows to exchanges slowed down too.

This habits could also be proof of a choice for holding, fairly than promoting. Whereas this could possibly be bullish in the long run, the short-term worth motion may also see a dip.

Bitcoin 1-day ChartBitcoin 1-day Chart

Supply: BTC/USDT on TradingView

The month-to-month ranges have been marked out in inexperienced and shaped a short-term vary that Bitcoin has continued to cling to. A every day session shut under $104.6k can be step one to point out the vary was actually breached.

Till then, the build-up of liquidity round $103k-$104k could possibly be examined, however may not be a bearish continuation sign.

Because the every day candlewicks of the previous week revealed, a transfer south could possibly be adopted by a bounce. The prospect of such a bounce has diminished over time. This may be evidenced by the OBV falling under the early June low and testing as resistance over the previous 24 hours. The RSI flashed bearish momentum as properly.

Significance of $102k-level for Bitcoin

Bitcoin 4-hour ChartBitcoin 4-hour Chart

Supply: BTC/USDT on TradingView

On the 4-hour chart, the rally from $100.3k to $110.5k was used to plot a set of Fibonacci retracement ranges (pale purple). The 50% and 61.8% ranges have been necessary over the previous week, particularly the latter at $104.2k.

The failure of this Fib stage would imply that $102.5k will emerge as the following goal. Beneath that, the $101.5-$102k vary marked the bullish order block the place the rally earlier in June started.

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The OBV on the H4 chart confirmed sellers had the higher hand just lately. At press time, the value construction and momentum have been additionally bearish.

BTC MVRV Pricing BandsBTC MVRV Pricing Bands

Supply: Glassnode

Lastly, the Bitcoin MVRV Deviation Pricing Bands revealed that $102.5k was a assist stage on the +0.5σ-level.

The value being above this stage could also be an indication that the market remains to be in its early bull section. A transfer past +1.0σ, now at $122k, would sign an area high.

Disclaimer: The data introduced doesn’t represent monetary, funding, buying and selling, or different sorts of recommendation and is solely the author’s opinion

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