Rare monthly buy signal flashes for Ethereum—but the bullish case isn’t clear-cut

The Ethereum [ETH] worth motion was in a longer-term downtrend, however has rallied 8.05% up to now week and 4.9% up to now 24 hours alone. But, based on information from Farside Buyers, the Ethereum spot ETF flows since June 17, 2026, measured a damaging $358.3 million.

These persistent outflows underlined the bearish market sentiment behind the main crypto altcoin. It has misplaced two main help ranges in 2026: the $3.2k and $2.0k ranges.

AMBCrypto reported that Ethereum, buying and selling at $1.5k, witnessed robust bearish positioning, but in addition warned of a doable quick squeeze.

The taker buy-sell ratio jumped again above 1 up to now couple of days of buying and selling. The metric’s 7-day shifting common additionally rose again above 1. This confirmed that the current beneficial properties have been partially pushed by aggressive purchaser orders within the perpetual swap markets.

The Open Curiosity additionally picked up barely. Elevated speculative curiosity and purchaser aggression might assist drive a brief squeeze within the coming days. Nonetheless, if the Open Curiosity begins to decelerate once more, it will point out the bounce was pushed by quick positions unwinding slightly than sustained demand.

The dilemma for long-term Ethereum buyers

The Ethereum MVRV excessive deviation pricing bands use the all-time MVRV imply and levels of deviation from it to type bands. These bands act as dynamic help/resistance ranges.

Proper now, the acute low of the band, the -1.0σ, or one customary deviation under the imply, at $1,549, was performing as help.

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez identified in a publish on X that July has kicked off with a purchase sign on the month-to-month timeframe from the TD Sequential indicator.

In September 2022 and March 2025, when the identical month-to-month purchase sign flashed, Ethereum rallied 235% and 182%, respectively.

The ETF flows and wider market sentiment didn’t make it look like a significant market backside was forming. Solely time will verify whether or not a deeper drawdown is mendacity in wait.

Closing Abstract

• The elevated Ethereum taker purchase ratio in perpetual markets and Open Curiosity signaled elevated short-term speculative curiosity.
• ETH’s spot ETF flows have been damaging over the previous two weeks, underlining weak investor conviction.