Why Ethereum’s 77K inflows can spell trouble for ETH

A large transfer: 77K ETH hits derivatives
On the sixteenth of April, over 77,000 ETH flooded into by-product exchanges — Ethereum’s largest single-day web influx in months.
This makes the earlier spikes of 65K ETH on the twenty sixth of March and 60K ETH on the third of April seem like chump change.


Supply: Cryptoquant
The sudden surge, proven clearly within the chart, represents a significant increase in supply coming into markets sometimes used for leverage, hedging, or hypothesis.
Crucially, Ethereum’s value hovered round $1.5K in the course of the influx — its lowest stage since late 2023 — indicating that this motion isn’t pushed by euphoria, however seemingly warning.
With markets nonetheless rattled by uncertainty, such a scale of influx suggests institutional gamers are repositioning — and doubtlessly making ready for extra draw back.
Bearish repeats
Ethereum’s newest spike in derivatives influx mirrors two prior occasions — the twenty sixth of March and the third of April — each of which preceded notable value declines.
These inflows correlate with rising bearish sentiment, as merchants transfer ETH to by-product platforms to open shorts or protecting hedges.
The sample is obvious: massive ETH inflows trigger market retreats. What’s totally different now could be the size and context.
This week’s surge follows China’s retaliatory tariffs, which have sparked a broader risk-off sentiment throughout international markets.
If historical past repeats, ETH may see additional weak point; but when macro situations stabilize, this influx would possibly mark capitulation on the backside, not a prelude to extra ache.