Analysis

Analyst Benjamin Cowen Expects Bitcoin Bounce After BTC Drops to $73,000 – But There’s a Catch

A crypto strategist who precisely predicted Bitcoin’s present downtrend says BTC could now be gearing up for a countertrend rally.

Analyst Benjamin Cowen tells his 1.1 million followers on X that he sees Bitcoin sparking a rally very quickly after plummeting to the low $70,000 vary.

“BTC simply dropped beneath the April 2025 low. If it doesn’t bounce quickly, that is going to be one hell of a midterm yr. If it may bounce, it provides us a couple of months and will get us nearer to October with out a lot dangerous value motion (seemingly the underside in time).

I really feel just like the bear narrative has been actually robust for some time, and so I’d count on a countertrend rally quickly in order that it provides the bulls some hope for some time.

Nevertheless, I’ve discovered my lesson in prior cycles, so I don’t try and commerce them. Countertrend rallies can occur, however typically they occur while you least count on them, not when everybody expects them. It is sensible to imagine {that a} sweep of a previous low would provide some reduction, as that has been true for BTC even throughout the bull market.”

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Supply: Benjamin Cowen/X

Nevertheless, Cowan warns that Bitcoin could first have a deeper correction to its 200-week easy shifting common (SMA), at the moment round $57,000, earlier than mounting a rally based mostly on historic priority.

“However in 2014/2018/2022 when BTC fell beneath the 100-W SMA, it was straight to the 200-W SMA earlier than any reduction occurred. The time to promote BTC was late final yr, not panicking on dumps within the midterm yr. I simply try to deal with the larger image and the larger image is that late Q3/early This autumn might be a greater time to maneuver actual a reimbursement into the market.

Between at times it’s simply folks attempting to become profitable throughout tough occasions by attempting to commerce assist/resistance ranges.”

Bitcoin is buying and selling for $73,082 at time of writing, down 4.1% at time of writing.

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